GIS Lab: University of Missouri, School of Natural Resources
GIS Lab: University of Missouri, School of Natural Resources

Jacob Fraser

Jacob Fraser

Education:

Ph.D, Natural Resources, University of Missouri, 2018

M.S., Forestry, University of Missouri, 2012

B.S., Forestry, University of Missouri, 2009

Geographic Information Systems Certificate, University of Missouri

USGS Northeast Climate Science Center Graduate Fellow

ResearchGate

Research Interests:

My current research focuses on tree species resilience to several projected climate change scenarios over large spatial and temporal scales as part of the Climate Change Response Framework project. I am using a forest landscape model (LANDIS PRO) coupled with an ecosystem process model (LINKAGES) and downscaled future climate projections to test species responses under various harvest and fire regimes.

Publications:

Fraser, J., Wang, W., He, H., and Thompson, F. 2019. Modeling Post-Fire Tree Mortality Using a Logistic Regression Method within a Forest Landscape Model. Forests 10(1): 25. doi: 10.3390/f10010025. Download PDF.

Luo, X., He, H.S., Liang, Y., Fraser, J.S., and Li, J. 2018. Mitigating the effects of climate change through harvesting and planting in boreal forests of Northeastern China. Sustain. 10(10). doi: 10.3390/su10103531. Download PDF.

Wang, W.J., He, H.S., Thompson, F.R., Spetich, M.A., and Fraser, J.S. 2018. Effects of species biological traits and environmental heterogeneity on simulated tree species distribution shifts under climate change. Sci. Total Environ. 634: 1214–1221. Elsevier B.V. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.353. Download PDF.

Janowiak, M.K., D'Amato, A.W., Swanston, C.W., Iverson, L., Thompson, F.R., Dijak, W.D., Matthews, S., Peters, M.P., Prasad, A., Fraser, J.S., Brandt, L.A., Butler-Leopold, P., Handler, S.D., Shannon, P.D., Burbank, D., Campbell, J., Cogbill, C., Duveneck, M.J., Emery, M.R., Fisichelli, N., Foster, J., Hushaw, J., Kenefic, L., Mahaffey, A., Morelli, T.L., Reo, N.J., Schaberg, P.G., Simmons, K.R., Weiskittel, A., Wilmot, S., Hollinger, D., Lane, E., Rustad, L., and Templer, P.H. 2018. New England and northern New York forest ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the New England Climate Change Response Framework project. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-173. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 234 p. doi: 10.2737/NRS-GTR-173

Jin, W., He, H. S., Thompson, F. R., Wang, W. J., Fraser, J. S., Shifley, S. R., Hanberry, B. B., and Dijak, W. D. 2017. Future forest aboveground carbon dynamics in the central United States: the importance of forest demographic processes. Sci. Rep. 7: 41821. Nature Publishing Group. doi: 10.1038/srep41821. Download PDF.

Dijak, W. D., Hanberry, B. B., Fraser, J. S., He, H. S., Thompson III, F. R., and Wang, W. J. 2016. Revision and application of the LINKAGES model to simulate forest growth in Central Hardwood landscapes in response to climate change. Landsc. Ecol. doi: 10.1007/s10980-016-0473-8. Download PDF.

LeBrun, J. J., Schneiderman, J. E., Thompson, F. R., Dijak, W. D., Fraser, J. S., He, H. S., and Millspaugh, J. J. 2016. Bird response to future climate and forest management focused on mitigating climate change. Landsc. Ecol. Springer Netherlands. doi: 10.1007/s10980-016-0463-x. Download PDF.

Xiao, J., Liang, Y., He, H.S., Thompson, J.R., Wang, W.J., Fraser, J.S., and Wu, Z. 2016. The formulations of site-scale processes affect landscape-scale forest change predictions: a comparison between LANDIS PRO and LANDIS-II forest landscape models. Landsc. Ecol. Springer Netherlands. doi: 10.1007/s10980-016-0442-2. Download PDF.

Wang, W.J., He, H.S., Thompson III, F.R., Fraser, J.S., and Dijak, W.D. 2016. Changes in forest biomass and tree species distribution under climate change in the northeastern United States. Landsc. Ecol. Springer Netherlands. doi: 10.1007/s10980-016-0429-z. Download PDF.

Iverson, L.R., Thompson, F.R., Matthews, S., Peters, M., Prasad, A., Dijak, W.D., Fraser, J., Wang, W.J., Hanberry, B., He, H., Janowiak, M., Butler, P., Brandt, L., and Swanston, C. 2016. Multi-model comparison on the effects of climate change on tree species in the eastern U.S.: results from an enhanced niche model and process-based ecosystem and landscape models. Landsc. Ecol. Springer Netherlands. doi: 10.1007/s10980-016-0404-8. Download PDF.

Wang, W.J., He, H.S., Thompson III, F.R., Fraser, J.S., Hanberry, B.B., and Dijak, W.D. 2015. The importance of succession, harvest, and climate change in determining future forest composition changes of the U.S. Central Hardwood Forests. Ecosphere 6(12): art277. doi: 10.1890/ES15-00238.1. Download PDF.

Wang, W.J., He, H.S., Thompson, F.R., Fraser, J.S., and Dijak, W.D. 2015. Landscape- and regional-scale shifts in forest composition under climate change in the Central Hardwood Region of the United States. Landsc. Ecol. Springer Netherlands. doi: 10.1007/s10980-015-0294-1. Download PDF.

Schneiderman, J.E., He, H.S., Thompson, F.R., Dijak, W.D., and Fraser, J.S. 2015. Comparison of a species distribution model and a process model from a hierarchical perspective to quantify effects of projected climate change on tree species. Landsc. Ecol. Springer Netherlands. doi: 10.1007/s10980-015-0217-1. Download PDF.

Liang, Y., He, H.S., Wang, W.J., Fraser, J.S., Wu, Z., and Xu, J. 2015. The site-scale processes affect species distribution predictions of forest landscape models. Ecol. Modell. 300: 89-101. Elsevier B.V. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.01.007. Download PDF.

Luo, X., He, H.S., Liang, Y., Wang, W.J., Wu, Z., and Fraser, J.S. 2014. Spatial simulation of the effect of fire and harvest on aboveground tree biomass in boreal forests of Northeast China. Landscape Ecology. 1-14. doi: 10.1007/s10980-014-0051-x. Download PDF.

Wang W. J., He, H. S., Fraser, J. S., Thompson III, F. R., Shifley, S. R., and Spetich, M. A. 2014. LANDIS PRO: a landscape model that predicts forest composition and structure changes at regional scales. Ecography 37(3): 225-229. Doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00495.x. Download PDF.

Fraser, J.S., He, H.S., Shifley, S.R., Wang, W.J., and Thompson, F.R. 2013. Simulating stand-level harvest prescriptions across landscapes: LANDIS PRO harvest module design. Can. J. For. Res. 43: 972-978. NRC Research Press. doi: 10.1139/cjfr-2013-0190. Download PDF.

Wang, W. J., H. S. He, M. A. Spetich, S. R. Shifley, F. R. Thompson III, D. R. Larsen, J. S. Fraser, and J. Yang. 2013. A large-scale forest landscape model incorporating multi-scale processes and utilizing forest inventory data. Ecosphere 4(9):106. doi:10.1890/ES13-00040.1 Download PDF.

Liang Y, He HS, Fraser JS, Wu Z. 2013. Thematic and Spatial Resolutions Affect Model-Based Predictions of Tree Species Distribution. PLoS ONE 8(7): e67889. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0067889 Download PDF.

Wang WJ, He HS, Spetich MA, Shifley SR, Thompson FR III, Fraser JS. 2013. Modeling the Effects of Harvest Alternatives on Mitigating Oak Decline in a Central Hardwood Forest Landscape. PLoS ONE 8(6): e66713. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0066713 Download PDF.

Presentations:

He, H.S., W. Jin, F.R. Thompson III, W.J. Wang, and J.S. Fraser. 2018. Future forest aboveground carbon dynamics in the central United States: the importance of forest demographic processes. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C. PDF

Fraser, J.S., W.D. Dijak, B.B. Hanberry, F.R. Thompson III, and H.S. He. 2016. Modeling responses of Eastern U.S. forests to climate change using a forest ecosystem model. US-International Association for Landscape Ecology Annual Symposium, Asheville, NC.

Ferguson, D.F., A.M Bryan, J.S. Fraser, A.B. Geunther, C.D. Geron, F.R. Thompson III, and A.L. Steiner. 2016. Climate Change Impacts on Biogenic Emissions in the Central Hardwoods. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA.

Fraser, J.S.. 2015. LANDIS PRO training workshop. International Association of Landscape Ecology-China Chapter, Joint Sino-US Workshop on Forest, Soil, and Landscape Modeling, Changchun, Jilin Province, China.

Fraser, J.S., H.S. He, F.R. Thompson III, W.D. Dijak, B.B. Hanberry, and W.J. Wang. 2014. Modeling change in maximum growing space under projected climate scenarios in the Central Hardwood Forest using an ecosystem process model. Ecological Society of America 99th Annual Meeting, Sacramento, CA.

Fraser, J.S., H.S. He, J. Yang, S.R. Shifley, and F.R. Thompson III. 2013. Designing a fire module for LANDIS PRO to simulate variable intensity fire regimes on forest landscapes. Ecological Society of America 98th Annual Meeting, Minneapolis, MN.

Fraser, J.S., H.S. He, C. Wang, F.R. Thompson III, S.R. Shifley, and W.D. Dijak. 2012. Designing a LANDIS PRO harvest module. 2012 US-International Association for Landscape Ecology Annual Symposium, Newport, RI.

Fraser, J.S., H.S. He, D.R. Larsen, F.R. Thompson III, S.R. Shifley, and W.D. Dijak. 2011. Parameterizing forest landscape models using FIA inventory data. 2011 US-International Association for Landscape Ecology Annual Symposium, Portland, OR.

Contact Information:

Jacob Fraser
University of Missouri
203 ABNR Building
Columbia, MO 65211
Jacob Fraser